LSU Tigers and the Florida Gators equally come into this Saturdays match with announcement victories.
LSU went to Texas and defeat against the Longhorns per week two. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp weekend. However, during this weeks matchup in Death Valley, both teams seem to take over a top-four place in the race .
Floridas defense leads the solution in their opinion. They have given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and have not given up a point from the 4th quarter because their opener. They flustered Auburn QB Bo Nix into creating bad decisions since he went 11 with three INTs.
But Joe Burrow isnt Nix. Hes a seasoned quarterback and has led LSU. They have averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in school soccer. That includes the 45 they dumped on the road on Texas.
Together with the roar of Death Valley the Gators come in as underdogs around BetNow. Can the No. cover the spread and 5 scoring defense keep this near? Or will Burrow and also the No. 2 passing offense keep rolling up and likewise win the bet? Heres the breakdown.
There is hardly any doubt in the ability of Burrow . Hes converted to a Heisman candidate, acquiring an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
Hes also working with a few of the very best receiving groups in the nation. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, and Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, with averages over 15 YPC for these three.
Jefferson has good length with his 63 frame and has dominated in some huge games. Chase is a presence on the opposite side. Marshall Jr. will sit until November with a foot injury, however, Derrick Dillon is an experienced goal who will fill the place. Its all a part of a passing game that has Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face by far the DB unit theyve played all season. Northwestern State is an FCS group, but here would be the yards-per-attempt given up by LSU opponents: Texas 124th Georgia Southern 111th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Utah State 103rd.
Although its safe to say they have yet to play a QB of the standard of Burrow florida currently sits in 33rd. They have played FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson has been preseason All-American who is living up to his billing. Shawn Davis creates a huge amount of havoc in the secondary (111 metres on three INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on irregular so far at the other corner spot, but has a high ceiling as a cover man.
Burrow will confront a ominous pass-rush, which will be fully healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, believed to function as very best is coming back from injury. With him on both side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) across the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate in their o-line is going to be analyzed.
Since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
Even though his awareness have to improve in the pocket, then he has to get flustered with an opposing defensive lineup. Auburns is arguably the best in the country, and ranks 11th in line yards, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st at LY and is 85th in bag rate. They will rely upon blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask. Even the Florida QB is confident in the pocket but is not out of it. He also sprained a knee and wore a leg brace when he reentered the match.
With the LBs more involved in the pass-rush, All-American security Grant Delpit should come up big in policy. He likely will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is imperative to LSUs victory on D.
LSU–such as Floridas secondary–is regarded as DBU for the gift they have on their defenses outside. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances which should land him around the All-Freshman team, if not more, in 2019.
Would probably likely soon be Kristian Fulton, who enabled the smallest sum of downs out of all returning FBS corners. Although this group is 69th in passing yards allowed per-game, itll be given an opportunity against a pressured Trask.
Balance will be crucial as for Florida, who has not got their running game this year, going. broke a tackle at the line on his way to a 88-yard TD run. Despite this, the Florida o-line rankings 113th based on yards and also can be going up against the No. 1 d-line in terms of power success (short-yardage scenarios ).
While the LSU front might not be powerful. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA on the ground, and that is including Perines long term and also a 76-yard receiver sweep which shut from the Kentucky match.
It puts ways too much strain on Trask in a hostile atmosphere, When they dont get Perine or even Dameon Pierce going frequently.
Florida has earned admiration after last week from the college football world. And while I do not expect them to come out from Death Valley, I do see this sport remaining most.
LSUs offense made strides, and Burrow is one of the QBs in the FBS. But LSU is not likely to install 45 or anything near this. Their pass-rush has developed with Greenard wreaking chaos.
The Gators defense will wear out with time, as they much too much to modify the wave in matches have been relied on by the staff. Marco Wilson is going to be the topic from Jefferson or the physiological Chase to some PIs.
However, I dont expect this until late in the fourth quarter. Maintaining the game in a lot of a slog until then makes Florida the bet on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)
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