The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers both come into this Saturdays match.
LSU moved to Texas and defeat against the Longhorns. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp previous weekend. But in this weeks matchup in Death Valley, both teams look to take over a place in the race to College Football Playoff.
The defense of florida leads the solution in their opinion. Theyve given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and havent given up a stage from the 4th quarter because their opener. Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered as he went 11 with three INTs into creating poor decisions that were several last week.
However, Joe Burrow is not Nix. He is a veteran quarterback, and it has led LSU to the best launching in SEC history. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in school soccer. This contains the 45 they dumped on Texas on the road.
Together with Death Valley awaitings roar that the Gators come in as underdogs on BetNow. Can the No. 5 defense keep this close and cover the spread? Or will the No. 2 passing offense and Burrow keep rolling up and also win the wager? Here is the complete breakdown.
There is very little uncertainty in the ability of Burrow . Hes converted to a Heisman candidate, having a immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
Hes also working with one of the getting teams in the country. The trio of all JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, along with Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns along with 73 receptions, together with averages over 15 YPC for all three.
Jefferson has great length with his 63 frame and has dominated in some huge games. Chase is an actual existence on the other side. Marshall Jr. will sit until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is a seasoned goal that will fill the area. It is all a part of a passing game that has Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face undoubtedly the toughest DB unit they have played with all season. Northwestern State is a FCS group, but here are the yards-per-attempt given up by LSU opponents: Texas 124th, Georgia Southern 111th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Utah State 103rd.
Though its safe to say theyve yet to play a QB of the caliber of Burrow, florida sits at 33rd. Theyve played FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson has been preseason All-American who is living up to his billing. Shawn Davis creates a huge amount of havoc at the secondary (111 yards on 3 INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on spot, but has a ceiling.
Burrow will also confront a, which will be fully healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, thought to function as best is coming back from injury. With him on both side along with Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) about the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sofa rate on their o-line is going to be tested.
Ever since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
Even though the new QB have to improve his consciousness in the pocket, then he has to get flustered by an opposing lineup. Auburns according is possibly the very best in the country, and ranks 11th in lineup yards to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and will be 85th in bag speed. Theyll rely upon blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask off his game. Even the Florida QB is certain in the pocket but is not portable out of it. He sprained a knee and wore a leg brace when he reentered the match.
With the LBs All-American security Grant Delpit needs to come up big in policy. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240pounds, 4.6 40-yard dash) is critical to LSUs success on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is most frequently considered DBU for the talent they possess on the perimeter of their defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances that should land him around the All-Freshman group, or even longer, in 2019.
On the other side of him would be Kristian Fulton, that permitted the smallest sum of downs last year out of returning FBS corners. Although this group is presently in passing yards allowed per-game 69th, itll be given a chance against a driven Trask.
Balance is going to be crucial as ever for Florida, that hasnt got their running game going this season. A tackle broke at the line on his approach last weekend. In spite of this, the Florida o-line rankings 113th in line yards and also will be going up against the No. 1 d-line in terms of power achievement (short-yardage situations).
While the LSU front might not be powerful. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA on the ground, and thats including Perines long run and a 76-yard receiver sweep that closed out the Kentucky match.
If they dont get Dameon or Perine Pierce going consistently, it places ways strain on Trask in a hostile environment.
Florida has earned admiration after week from the college football world. And while I dont expect them to come out at Death Valley, I do see this game staying closer than most.
LSUs offense made amazing strides, also Burrow is just one of the more intelligent QBs from the FBS. But LSU is not likely to install 45 or something close to this against a defense who is proven at all 3 levels. Their pass-rush has developed with Greenard wreaking havoc.
As the group has relied on them far too much to modify the wave in matches, the Gators defense will probably work out with time. Marco Wilson is going to be the subject from the Chase or Jefferson to a late-game PIs.
But I do not anticipate this before late in the fourth quarter. Maintaining the match in a lot of a slog till then makes Florida the appropriate wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)
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