Last night was a perfect instance of a night to forget with my FanDuel MLB DFS Picks.
I took a risk with rostering left-hander Brendan McKay from a team in the Seattle Mariners that can hit the ball hard but also strikes out a great deal, and the former is what ended up taking place. McKay surrendered seven runs (but just three earned) in two innings of work because he allowed three hits — including 2 home runs — along with three walks with only 1 strikeout. That is the worst pitching functionality weve seen in these lineups.
Our D-backs stack that is four-man did some harm as Ketel Marte continued his breakout season along with his 26th home run. He included a walk. David Peralta climbed as part of a two-hit night with Eduardo Escobar and 2 RBI scored a run and walked. Add a zero out of Christian Walker and the results for this particular high-upside, four-man stack were unsatisfactory to be sure.
As a stroll from both Eugenio Suarez and Phillip Ervin was the sole contributions wed get from that group, our Reds stack was simply brutal.
Finally, we received a few solid worth from shortstop Wilfredo Tovar who pumped a pair of singles for us as a minimum price that was $ 2,000.
Let us put this one behind us now and move forward into tonights jam-packed 15-game major slate!
P — Sonny Gray (CIN) — $10,400 vs. SD
Theres a lot of arms on this slate that draw your focus including Clayton Kershaw, Stephen Strasburg, Shane Bieber and Aaron Nola, however I enjoy Gray because his price is not at the level which Kershaw is at over $12K, but the upside may be equally as powerful as he takes on the San Diego Padres tonight in the home. The boundaries of Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati are of the hitter-friendly environment, but that hasnt ceased Gray from twirling a 3.15 ERA, 3.23 FIP, 3.48 xFIP along with also a big-time 10.62 K/9 in the home. The latter three of these numbers are superior to his figures on the street, as is his 3.86 K/BB in the home as hes run into some command issues on the street with a 4.08 BB/9, however, possesses a nice 2.75 mark in the home. Gray has been particularly dominant of late, entering this one tonight riding a three-start scoreless streak because he has not allowed a run over his last 18 innings with 24 strikeouts in that span. His final two trips have come at home and he is hurled 11 innings of shutout ball at the time with 17 strikeouts to boot. The strikeout upside down gets a notch in the right direction as the Padres possess the leagues second-highest strikeout rate versus right-handed piching using a K-rate of 26.4percent off of these. Given his work and the strikeout upside in this matchup, Gray seems to be a great play on this huge slate.
C/1B — Anthony Rizzo (CHC) — $4,200 vs. SF
I really havent piled against the Giants much this year since they have a top 10 bullpen to rear their starters, although I believe that the Cubs have some real nice upside tonight, as do the oddsmakers at theyve a big 5.9 run projection in this point in time. The Cubs will take on right-hander Tyler Beede with scuffled to the tune of a 5.77 ERA and also 5.42 FIP over the season to go along with a 1.85 HR/9 speed. He has been touched for a 6.23 ERA on the path to go alongside a 5.82 FIP and also 1.89 HR/9 clip. Last, Beede has posted a 9.95 ERA across three August begins to this stage with a 2.64 HR/9 against, so theres plenty of reason to believe that this Cubs team could put some runs on the board in a big way . Input Rizzo whos once more performing some big-time harm against right-handed pitching with a .240 ISO, .960 OPS, .401 wOBA along with also a 148 wRC+ against them for the season. Hes seen his ISO dip to .179 at home versus righties, but his .962 OPS, .407 wOBA and 152 wRC+ are superior at home versus his marks on the street versus righties. Rizzo homered in his last match the home of the Little League World Series, in Williamsport, his second ball over his final four games, against the Pirates. For him to keep to swing a more stick that is potent in this one tonight, lets look.
2B — Cesar Hernandez (PHI) — $2,500 vs. BOS
After picking Gray as my pitcher and a four-man Cubs stack to lead the Warriors in this lineup, then I had to be discerning with all the remainder of my picks from a salary perspective because there wasnt a ton to spend on every player at the point. Ive discovered a cheap, low-owned mini-stack that will pay some big dividends in a positive matchup tonight. Hernandezs Phillies take on the Red Sox and left-hander Brian Johnson in this 1 tonight, so he of some ghastly 6.45 ERA, 5.95 FIP and also 5.99 xFIP on the season to cooperate with a big 2.01 HR/9 against too. He has been struck hard by right-handed nerves in his brief time in the bigs this season, and the switch-hitting Hernandez will indeed swing from the perfect side against him. The energy is enhanced by the left side of this plate, but he has smacked eight of the 23 doubles versus a lefty and hes struck eight overall home runs and killed seven complete foundations to give us some power/speed upside down . Usually I only use him righties, however given how poor Johnson has been right-handed nerves as well as the simple fact hes likely to be part of a mini-stack in low ownership, I will roll the dice around the Phillies second baseman tonight.
3B — Sean Rodriguez (PHI) — $2,200 vs. BOS
As Rodriguez looks to provide us some value tonight against the fighting Johnson, we will finish the Phillies mini-stack here. Rodriguez has left his big league cash hitting against left wing pitching for notable power. For this year, hes hitting .267 using a .222 ISO, .842 OPS, .356 wOBA and 119 wRC+ from left handed pitching. When we compare that to his .154 average, .059 ISO, .437 OPS, .201 wOBA along with 18 wRC+ vs righties, we can see why Rodriguez starts almost entirely against left-wing pitching as he has done throughout his lengthy huge league tenure. In laymans terms, Rodriguez has smacked against each of his homers from lefties from 45 at-bats with no homers around 34 at-bats versus righties. The 34-year-old also posted a huge .356 ISO in Triple-A this season in limited action with an even 1.000 OPS versus left wing pitching. He rarely has an whole match as he is largely replaced when a right-handed reliever has been summoned to confront himbut the second-last time he did get four at-bats in a game, Rodriguez knocked three hits including a house run. He has struggled in largely pinch-hit duty because, but Im still digging on out the upside were getting to get a lefty-masher in a near-minimum price versus a tonight.
SS — Javier Baez (CHC) — $4,100 vs. SF
Man that is next up in our Cubs heap is but he is still wanted by me in this stack versus a right-hander as well as he is mashed them. He does own a gigantic .333 ISO and also .998 OPS versus pitching, however, Baez sports a .240 ISO, .824 OPS, .337 wOBA along with 106 wRC+ versus right-handed pitching. Hes hit 20 of his 28 homers versus righties as well as 30 of his own 34 doubles, however for some reason the Cubs have confronted so few left-handers this year that the eight homers and four doubles he is submitted versus lefties have his figures soaring against them. The stolen base upside down is there as well with 10 steals on the season, but only three of these have come at the cost of a right-handed pitcher. Nevertheless, Baez has fared much better in the home versus throwing, thanks partly to the famous jet stream that blows outside at Wrigley Field in Chicago — to left area — Baezs attraction field. Baez owns a .302 ISO, .961 OPS, .392 wOBA and 142 wRC+ versus pitching at home that season. Baez went 2 for 5 with a double and a run scored on the match at Williamsport night, so let us search for him to assemble on that campaign in this one tonight.
OF — Kyle Schwarber (CHC) — $3,300 vs. SF
Continuing our four-man Cubs stack is Schwarber who loves himself some sequential pitching. The 28 long balls on the season of schwarber are merely two shy of tying his career-high of 30 place in the 2017 season, and 24 of those 28 balls have come from a right-handed pitcher like tonight will be faced by him at the Giants Tyler Beede. Schwarber doesnt hit for much common whatsoever that drags down his OPS and wOBA despite some powerful walk amounts, however the raw power is that which we are here for as he owns a .276 ISO versus righties to go along with the .835 OPS, .342 wOBA along with 109 wRC+ versus opposite-handed pitching. Even with Wrigley Field perhaps not function as absolute most hitter-friendly venue for left-wing hitters like Schwarber, he still loves mashing righties in the home as he sports a .296 ISO, .918 OPS, .373 wOBA and 129 wRC+ versus righties in the home in comparison to some .257 ISO, .760 OPS, .315 wOBA along with 91 wRC+ on the road versus righties. Schwarber has absolutely removed in the next half of this season as weve seen earlier with him. Since returning from the All-Star fracture, Schwarber has published a enormous .344 ISO, .900 OPS, .368 wOBA and 126 wRC+. At a fantastic example of a very low average but tons of power, three of the final five hits of Schwarber have abandoned the lawn. Search against a right-handed pitcher permitting his share of home runs.
OF — Ian Happ (CHC) — $3,100 vs. SF
Last person up in our Cubs heap is. Happ has spent the majority of the season at the Triple-A degree for a casualty of a numbers game at the Cubs outfield, although despite not exactly tearing it up at Triple-A using a .189 ISO and 96 wRC+, Happ has submitted big-time numbers in his big league tenure this season round hi 62 plate appearances. He possesses a .291 ISO along with 133 wRC+ at the big league level this year with four long balls to his title. The utility man possesses a .278 ISO, .937 OPS, .390 wOBA along with 140 wRC+ in his brief major league time this season versus right-handed pitching. He burst onto the scene at 2017 with 24 home runs after a mid-season advertising, also switch-hitter owns superior career numbers versus righties using a .242 ISO, .845 OPS, .355 wOBA and also a 120 wRC+ versus righties in comparison with some .171 ISO, .713 OPS, .303 wOBA and 86 wRC+ vs lefties. He is yet to swipe a base in the big leagues this year, but did have nine stelas in 99 Triple-A games this year and has 16 stolen bases from 279 major league games for his career, therefore we do have a touch of stolen base upside here as well. Ill take the upside down here to anchor our pile tonight.
OF — Lane Thomas (STL) — $2,300 vs. MIL
I will be completing this lineup with a pair of outfielders that are one-off, beginning here with Thomas who chooses on left-hander Gio Gonzalez and the Milwaukee Brewers tonight. Gonzalez continues to be fine this season and isnt a pitcher that I target frequently, but almost all of the harm against him stems from right-handed bats and Thomas has great numbers against lefties both at the big leagues and league level this year. Entering this one tonight, Thomas is 4 for 8 with a homer and a triple vs pitching in a major league sample that is little this year. He attempted a slip with a lefty an effort that was unsuccessful, but does have a steal from a righty. The 23-year-old did post an .826 OPS versus lefties from the minors this year where he found success on the basepaths with 11 wants to add to his 10 home runs. Two of the 11 steals from the minors were off of pitching. Thomas has steals in the minors in each of his two preceding decades and has a record of the precious combination within his minor league career as he homered 27 days and stole 17 bases around two levels past season. I believe well get him and I am excited to see whether he can provide some value against a southpaw pitcher.
UTIL — Joc Pederson (LAD) — $2,900 vs. TOR
Completing our lineup tonight is Pederson who takes a ton of value into this game in this cost. The Dodgers are set to take on right-hander Sean Reid-Foley, a rookie to the Blue Jays who owns a 3.00 ERA in six starts and eight looks at the major league level, but also a 4.88 FIP and enormous 6.18 xFIP to go together with a substantial 5.70 BB/9 rate also. Furthermore, Reid-Foley had been brutalized in the Triple-A amount with a 6.26 ERA, 5.53 FIP and also 5.31 xFIP to go along with a enormous 6.80 BB/9 rate also. After being roughed up this season, Certainly, hes due for some big-time regression from the big leagues. As is typically the case from a starter, Pederson is projected to hit tonight. He loves himself a right-handed pitching as he owns a .272 ISO, .851 OPS, .354 wOBA and 121 wRC+ vs righties over the season while all of his 24 balls come from a righty. He is a lot like Schwarber at the sense that he doesnt reach for a average but instead power. Hes also like Schwarber at the sense he mashes righties in the home with Pederson possessing an eye-popping .381 ISO, 1.026 OPS, .416 wOBA and 161 wRC+ in home versus righties this year. I think I will take that form of generation out of the leadoff area that is precious tonight.
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