NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis
Phoenix is only 11-40 overall this year, with four wins in 25 tries away from your home. In general, the Suns have retained lots of their games alongside an 11-14 record against the spread as the visiting team. They’re only 2-7 ATS this season and 13-28 ATS in their last 41 against divisional opponents.
The Lakers are 15-11 on their home floor up to now this season. Overall, they are 20-27 against the spread, including a 9-15 record against the spread at home. Oddly enough, they’re just 7-17 ATS when facing teams with a losing record. They’ve covered and won seven of the last 10 meetings between the groups, however.
Phoenix Suns
1 thing we know for certain is that Phoenix has had a extremely tough time slowing down its competitors this year. The Suns are have enabled at least 120 points in backend losses, while offering up 111 points or more in each of the last seven losses. Devin Booker and Kelly Oubre Jr. have done their very best to carry Phoenix despite their poor defense. However, even with Booker averaging 25.2 points per match and Oubre averaging 17.2 points per game over the past seven days, the Suns have not been able to snap out of the funk.
One of their most important concerns today is they are playing with no Deandre Ayton, T.J. Warren and De’Anthony Melton. That’s two of their best three point-getters while Melton had become the team’s top point guard. It’s a lot to overcome for a team which was terrible to start with.
Los Angeles Lakers
The challenge for the Lakers on Sunday night is that they may be without a lot more talent besides James. They are hoping Kyle Kuzma is ready to proceed after he missed Saturday’s practice and is thought of as a game-time choice for Sunday. Remember, the team is without Lonzo Ball. James, Kuzma and Ball are just three of the top four players on the team concerning minutes played.
That means the Lakers will need men Brandon Ingram and Ivica Zubac to carry the load — even when Kuzma plays. Ingram has averaged 19.3 points per game over the last week but he’s mostly been a disappointment this season. He’s got a PER of just 11.9. Zubac has given the team a shot in the arm as he’s averaged 17.8 points and 7.8 rebounds in his last four contests.
There’s no wonder that the Lakers are fighting and they’ll be shorthanded. But, losses in the home to the Phoenix Suns — who’s both shorthanded — are inexcusable. Look for the Lakers to win but the Suns to cover.
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