Last night’s FanDuel MLB DFS Picks were a mixed bag of manufacturing and frustration.
As Berrios was good in their own own outing against the White Sox, we finished up on the ideal side of this Jose Berrios/Robbie Ray debate. The right-hander hurled 7.1 innings of two-run chunk to go along with eight punchouts, making his 13th win of the year from the procedure. Ray went six innings and allowed just 1 hit, but he walked four, struck out seven and got a no-decision.
As they scored eight runs against a Reds bullpen plus Kevin Gausman our four-man Cubs stack showed out. The major hit came out of Kyle Schwarber who clubbed a three-run house run from Gausman from the first inning. Nicholas Castellanos remained hot he also added a pair of RBI too. Ben Zobrist delivered solid value with a pair of singles, a run scored and an RBI while Nico Hoerner chipped at a single and a run scored. I like.
The annoying part of the lineup arrived in the form of our Brewers heap. Milwaukee scored five runs, but Cory Spangenberg of all players did damage with a homer and a triple. Yasmani Grandal submitted a zero, Mike Moustakas gave us only 1 walk while Eric Thames delivered value using a double, a single and a run scored.
All told, it was a fantastic lineup with the exception of two players, but I will take these outcomes and the gains attached.
Let us see if we can make it and turn our focus two in a row!
P — Justin Verlander (HOU) — $12,000 vs. TEX
I really did look around to see if I could squeeze some value from a different pitcher on this background for GPPs, however the truth is that I simply cannot fade Verlander inside this matchup as his strikeout upside is simply enormous against the swing-and-miss Texas Rangers. Not merely is Verlander entering this tune since the AL Cy Young favorite thanks to his 2.58 ERA, 18 wins and also enormous 12.01 K/9 rate, but he takes to a Rangers team that owns a 25.4percent K-rate versus right-handed pitching this season, good for the fifth-highest mark in baseball. Since he’s had his share of excursions against them this season, verlander is quite familiar with this Texas lineup. Tonight will mark the first time beginning of the year for Verlander against these Rangers, and he is pitched to a 2.70 ERA using a 11.70 K/9 rate against them throughout the first five. However, when we take out his first start of the season against Texas — and next start overall — where he allowed four earned runs and struck out just four, Verlander owns a 1.73 ERA and a 12.12 K/9 clip against them within his last four starts like a 12-strikeout campaign against them at his last start against the Rangers. Considering I’ve discovered a top quality lineup even with the pricey Verlander in the very best, I believe we all must be rolling with the future Hall of Famer tonight.
C/1B — Freddie Freeman (ATL) — $3,800 vs. PHI
It is an NL East battle tonight in Atlanta since the Braves take on the Phillies in hopes of buring the Phillies once and for everybody from the NL playoff race. I believe they’ll do that tonight supporting a strong offensive operation against right-hander Vince Velasquez plus a Phillies’pencil. Velasquez owns a 4.95 ERA and 5.44 FIP on the summer when allowing home runs at a large 2.08 HR/9 clip. In addition, he possesses a 5.40 ERA and also 5.69 FIP on the path to go alongside a 4.19 BB/9 rate that’s miles higher than his 2.43 mark in your home, so I’m all in to a four-man Braves stack in this 1 tonight, beginning here with Freeman. It has been a year of mashing right-hander pitching to its long time Braves first baseman as he has published a big-time .291 ISO, 1.030 OPS, .420 wOBA plus a big 159 wRC+ against righties here in 2019. The figures are rather similar at home, no matter how the ability jumps into a .317 ISO in SunTrust Park versus righties, a venue that caters nicely to left-handed power hitters like Freeman. He doesn’t have many extra-base hits against himbut Freeman has gone 9 for 26 (.346) with a pair doubles in his career against Velasquez. He also snapped a out, so let us look for Freeman to build this effort from a struggling pitcher off.
2B — Wilmer Flores (ARI) — $2,600 vs. MIA
I certainly need to find some value in this lineup together with the expensive Verlander in the top and pair of expensive Braves bats, also I’ve found a three-man value pile from the Diamondbacks on this slate, a team projected to score 5.1 runs against left-hander Caleb Smith plus a weak Marlins bullpen. There’s a couple of things working from the D-backs’ favor tonight. One, they rank third in baseball using a .353 group wOBA versus left handed pitching, thanks partly to the players in this stack. Secondly, following a nice start to his season, Smith has been hit hard initially, posting a 4.81 ERA since the All-Star fracture with a 6.39 markers in August and a 4.76 mark so far in September. Eventually, Smith owns a 4.77 ERA, 5.87 FIP, 5.05 xFIP and a 2.59 HR/9 speed on the road compared to a 3.56 ERA, 3.90 FIP, 4.33 xFIP plus a 1.23 HR/9 rate in the home. The home run rate is at home. Input Flores who is once more mashing left-handed pitching this year to the tune of a .340 average, .309 ISO, 1.023 OPS, .420 wOBA and also a 160 wRC+. Those are some elite figures. He also possesses lefties for an even superior .380 ISO, 1.186 OPS, .482 wOBA and enormous 200 wRC+ from lefties in the home. There is just a lot to like about the matchup below against the Smith that is fighting.
3B — Josh Donaldson (ATL) — $3,400 vs. PHI
Next man up in our Braves stack is Donaldson who is placing himself in a great position to earn some big bucks as a free agent against the winter, thanks in big part to his job at home against right-handed pitching in 2019. Donaldson has certainly mashed right-handers entire as part of his own reverse-splits this year as he has submitted a .280 ISO, .931 OPS, .387 wOBA along with 137 wRC+ to the season against opposite-handed pitching, but he’s posted strong numbers against lefties also. Still, his best split is at home from righties — by far. In SunTrust Park versus right-handed pitching this season, the former AL MVP has published an eye-popping .397 ISO, 1.209 OPS, .486 wOBA along with 202 wRC+. In other words, his bat has been 102 percent more productive than league average at home versus righties this year. This things as Donaldson isn’t the hitter on the street where he has submitted a .193 ISO along with .719 OPS against righties this season. Donaldson is enjoying a huge month of September to boot because he’s submitted a .289 ISO, 1.016 OPS, .425 wOBA along with 162 wRC+ to the month for this stage together with the latter figure linking July for his most rewarding month of the 2019 season. Sign me up all day here with the veteran slugger.
SS — Nick Ahmed (ARI) — $2,500 vs. MIA
Keep an eye on the confirmed starting lineups as we move forward during the afternoon since Ahmed left last night’s game with a cut on his finger afterwards shooting a grounder from it, but he had been confident post-game that he will play tonight and he has been a horse this season for its D-backs, so I think he will start this match tonight. That is a good thing because there is loads of upside down in his bat at a matchup from the scuffling Smith. Ahmed has witnessed his soda increase since the beginning of the 2018 year, and that has been the situation here in 2019 as well, mostly against left-handed pitching. He’ll enter play tonight wearing an impressive .256 ISO, .961 OPS, .394 wOBA along with 143 wRC+ to this summer versus right-handed pitching. The news gets even better as his best divide — undoubtedly — is at home versus lefties where he’s touched them up to get a .328 ISO, 1.110 OPS, .447 wOBA along with 178 wRC+. We even get some base upside with Ahmed tonight because he’s stolen seven bags on top of his own 18 homers. He is not having a terribly productive month for this point, but I think in the numbers he is submitted at house versus lefties — even more so from a pitcher who has fought on the street and of late as well.
OF — Nick Markakis (ATL) — $2,600 vs. PHI
Next man up in our Braves stack is Markakis who only doesn’t get the credit he deserves to get how good his bat continues to be against right-handed pitching. He does not find much attention due to the overall lack of home run power as he possesses only a .159 ISO versus righties this season, and it has slugged just nine homers in a league in which the long ball is on the rise to be sure. Having said that, he still possesses an .856 ISO, .363 wOBA along with 121 wRC+ vs righties this season. His bat is 21% better than league average versus right-handed pitching. A common theme in this lineup as been gamers playing in their very best split, and that is true with Markakis as well. The veteran outfielder has been quite good at home versus righties where he’s posted a .184 ISO, .936 OPS, .395 wOBA and 142 wRC+. He has been very good since overlooking about six months of activity with a busted wrist — typically a difficult injury to return from. In three games since coming, he’s gone 7 for 14 (.500) having a double, two runs scored and three RBI. Just has not missed a beat. He is also a .400 hitter having a double in 20 at-bats against Velasquez in his career. At this cost, there is a whole lot of value to be unlocked tonight.
OF — Matt Joyce (ATL) — $2,400 vs. PHI
Completing our four-man stack is Joyce who has left his big league cash hitting right-handed pitching during his journeyman career. The batting average is truly quite good against the two genders’ handedness, however he’s logged just 20 at-bats versus lefties using a .300 moderate to show for it. Against righties, nevertheless, he’s hit .293 and also that the power is much better with a .185 ISO, however, also an .884 OPS, .379 wOBA and 132 wRC+. The bat is indeed effective versus righties thanks to a big 16% drop speed which has his OPS, wOBA along with wRC+ figures soaring. Once again, we have a hitter hitting in a successful breakup with Joyce. At home from righties, the amounts improve to some .203 ISO, .952 OPS, .404 wOBA and 148 wRC+. His walk rate is in fact lower in the home than on the road, but I will gladly take total production for a result and the power. In addition, we have Joyce loving his very best month of the season here in September as he has submitted a .241 ISO, 1.011 OPS, .428 wOBA and 164 wRC+ to the month for this point. It is a sample, but it’s well worth noting that he’s also 2 for 2 with a homer and a walk in his profession against Velasquez. I’ll take the value and run in what should be a fruitful four-man Braves this evening.
OF — Mark Canha (OAK) — $3,200 vs. KC
I had $3,200 following rostering my Braves stack Verlander and a stack, and of that set my pick of this litter is Canha who is having a breakout year at 30 years of 43, left. I was also tempted to decide on the Indians’ Franmil Reyes given his big-time power, but I enjoy Canha’s splits as he takes on right-hander Jorge Lopez and the Kansas City Royals tonight in the O.Co Coliseum in Oakland. Entering tonight to play, Canha has published inverse breaks here in 2019. He possesses a .285 typical, .247 ISO, .940 OPS, .395 wOBA and 153 wRC+ versus right-handed pitching this year — all of which are exceptional to his characters versus lefties. This isn’t a recording, however we have a player enjoying his best split in this matchup. Canha has possessed right-handers at home that season where he’s submitted a .258 ISO, 1.058 OPS, .442 wOBA along with 184 wRC+. This wRC+ figure is far-and-away that his very best split of them all. At the plate in September, Canha has slowed down Following a white-hot August. He’s played in 3 games and also has a two-run homer at the time. Remember Lopez possesses a 5.44 ERA and 1.62 HR/9 on the summer, so I’ll take Canha’s favorable splits against a targetable starting pitcher .
UTIL — Carson Kelly (ARI) — $2,500 vs. MIA
Completing this lineup along with our stack is Kelly who’s done some harm against left-handed pitchers this season. Kelly has enjoyed a genuine year this winter after coming out of the Cardinals from the Paul Goldschmidt commerce. In his first full season in the bigs, Kelly has published a .247 ISO overall with 18 home runs despite filing fewer than 350 plate appearances round 105 games to this point. Nevertheless, the bat has been surreal against lefties who he’s owned to the song of a .363 typical, .325 ISO, 1.156 OPS, .462 wOBA and a 187 wRC+. That is so impressive in your first year in the big leagues. For your first time in this lineup, we have a hitter not hitting his very best split. Nevertheless, I do not think I will argue over Kelly’s .220 ISO, .977 OPS, .397 wOBA and 145 wRC+. It’s a bit of a bummer that Kelly has suffered a genuine month of September for this stage, but there’s a silver lining as he snapped a hitless streak with a hit and a run scored only last night. He is also a walk at a sample from Smith and 1 for 2 with an RBI. Given the stack and the cost, I’m loving the value Kelly brings to the table in a matchup tonight.
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