Rematches arent uncommon in the world of mixed martial arts. If a fighter sticks around the organization for a length of time, then you can be assured theyll be scheduled to battle an opponent they have already faced at one point or another. In addition to that winners will constantly possess two or a rematch due to running out of new opponents to confront in their weight class.
When these rematches take place, how should they be wager by you? In the event you always bet about the fighter that won the first fight? Is the underdog the right play? That is a question so I brought some info on the topic up, I wanted to reply.
In the rematch, when fighters have confronted each other the winner of the previous struggle has gone 71-43-3 since UFC 1. This usually means the winner is victorious in 62??percent??of rematch??struggles.
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So as to use these amounts to our benefit as bettors, we need to dive into them a bit deeper. Our database for fight odds goes back to 2012, therefore well use from then until present day (August 9,??2019) as our sample size to get favorites and underdogs.
Fighters who won the very first fight walked??to the rematch as a gambling favorite??36??times out of a total of 60??rematches since 2012, winning 28??of those battles (77.7??percent??win rate).
The profit from these fights is not as big as you might imagine given that the simple fact that a portion of the fighters wouldve been favorites with a significant margin while thats an success rate. $100 bettors would have walked away with a profit of $377.64??when they blindly bet about the fighter that won the preceding bout when they had been recorded as the favorite??at the next fight all 36??times that happened.
The most important (and profitable) statistic I discovered was that the fighter that won the initial bout??won 14??from 24??rematches when they were listed as a underdog, providing $100 bettors a gain of $1,013.46.
Overall, because 2012,??should you wager $100 to the fighter who won the first fight when they competed at a rematch, then you would have gained a profit of $1,391.10.
History tends to repeat itself, and UFC rematches are no exception to this rule.
Despite winning his fight as Daniel Cormier went into his rematch bettors can look as an prime example of this at UFC 210. He won in lopsided fashion via second-round entry. Rose Namajunas was an underdog in EVEN money going right into her UFC 223 rematch and went on to win in a convincing unanimous decision.
While the statistics show that betting on the fighter who won the fight if they rematch an opponent is rewarding, the reverse can be said about gambling on fighters at a rematch bout who lost the contest.
Favorites in rematches if they dropped the first fight are 10-14, losing $100 bettors that a total of 926.21.
Underdogs in rematches if they lost the battle are 8-28, losing $100 bettors a total of 979.
To put these betting statistics into phrases you can feel secure betting onto a fighter once they choose someone whom theyve already conquered. Whether they are listed as favorites or maybe not, you will gain a gain long term implementing this tactic.
Not all rematches are created equal. There are perhaps a period in some cases * ahem * BJ Penn vs Frankie Edgar * ahem *, or a number of conflicts that never should be fought a time.
To take these conflicts for the sake of curiosity when shooting ONLY title fights under account I wished to consider the numbers. For the fight to fall under this category the rematch and the very first fight had??to have been for the buckle.
The album for the prior winner heading into a title fight rematch is 25-10.
Since 2012, previous winners in fights for the title are 17-3, netting $100 bettors that a profit of $725.20.
These numbers certainly do nothing but further the purpose that betting on the prior winner is a play that is intelligent, so dont hesitate to implement this strategy in the event that you would like to win any money moving ahead.
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